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Monthly Archives: June 2013

Jarman: Leeds worst CHU in England! (Except for some others)

29 Saturday Jun 2013

Posted by Mike Sivier in Uncategorized

≈ Comments Off on Jarman: Leeds worst CHU in England! (Except for some others)


Latest Skwawkbox blog – Steve does the NHS much better than I do. Get your anti-disinformation pills (figuratively) here!

SKWAWKBOX

I don’t think there could be a much clearer example of the concerted, deliberate and wantonly inaccurate media campaign to undermine the NHS and achieve ulterior motives than today’s BBC News headline about the Leeds Children’s Heart Unit (CHU). It’s also perfectly in line with the track record of media and certain health interests in sullying the reputation of Leeds’ crucial and much-loved unit – a continued demonstration of the determination in certain quarters to see Leeds close even if there is no justification for it. There are too many articles on various facets of that story to link them all here, but if you want to see more a search of the blog for ‘Leeds’ will yield plenty of reading material.

The BBC long ago abandoned any pretence of impartiality on the NHS, instead contributing with gusto to the disinformation on issues like the A&E crisis, or even…

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ESA appeals more than double – and decisions in the claimant’s favour are increasing

28 Friday Jun 2013

Posted by Mike Sivier in Benefits, Conservative Party, Disability, Justice, People, Politics, UK

≈ 29 Comments

Tags

Atos, benefit, benefits, Coalition, Conservative, Department for Work and Pensions, disability, Disability Living Allowance, disabled, DLA, DWP, Employment and Support Allowance, ESA, government, health, Iain Duncan Smith, Incapacity Benefit, mark hoban, Mike Sivier, mikesivier, Parliament, people, politics, sick, social security, Tories, Tory, Vox Political, WCA, welfare, work capability assessment


Why this is important:  "Atos Still Kills". We don't even know the current death rate because the Department for Work and Pensions won't tell us; but the figures revealed here show that the assessment system for people on disability benefits is still fatally flawed.

Why this is important: “Atos Still Kills”. We don’t even know the current death rate because the Department for Work and Pensions won’t tell us; but the figures revealed here show that the assessment system for people on disability benefits is still fatally flawed.

The number of appeals against decisions made after Atos work capability assessments has rocketed, with an increase in tribunal decisions in favour of the claimant – according to official government figures.

The government’s Tribunals Statistics Quarterly for January 1 to March 31 this year records a 33 per cent increase in the number of appeals (“receipts” in the language of the document), compared with the same period in 2012 – that’s a rise of almost one-third to 255,084.

It states: “The increase in the overall number of receipts was mainly due to the 37 per cent increase in the number of appeals received in social security (note: not “welfare”) and child support in 2012/13, compared to the same period in 2011/12.

“This was driven by appeals in relation to Employment and Support Allowance (ESA), which more than doubled over between Q4 2011/12 and Q4 2012/13 and accounted for 70 per cent of all SSCS receipts in Q4 2012/13.

The report states that “of the 130,517 social security and child support cases disposed of in January to March 2013; 63 per cent were for ESA; 16 per cent for Disability Living Allowance and 10 per cent for JSA”.

The tribunal service found in favour of the “customer” (the benefit claimant) in 43 per cent of ESA cases (up from 38 per cent previously – it comes out at around 35,357 of 82,226 cases) – and also, notably, in 41 per cent of Disability Living Allowance cases (8,562 of 20,882 cases).

Incapacity Benefit cases decreased by 92 per cent because the benefit has been replaced by ESA.

So nearly half of appeals against ESA and DLA decisions are successful – an increase on previous totals. This should serve as a slap in the face to ministers at the Department for Work and Pensions, especially Employment Minister Mark Hoban, who said in February that criticism of the Atos-run assessment system for ESA was “scaremongering”.

Speaking after the Commons Work and Pensions committee criticised the system, he said: “Rather than scaremongering and driving down the reputation of the WCA, critics might like to acknowledge the fact that independent reviews have found no fundamental reforms are needed to the current process because of changes we’re making.”

If that was true, then why – at the time he said those words – was the number of successful appeals against this process increasing?

The committee had stated that “the decision-making process for new Employment Support Allowance applications and Incapacity Benefit reassessments all too often leads to the wrong decisions and is failing far too many people”. This blog judged that claim to be accurate at the time and this is now borne out by the figures.

In January he said: “Some of the worry experienced by claimants is as a result of adverse media coverage, and it risks being fuelled by incorrect anecdotal information, and indeed total myth.”

Will he come back to the House of Commons now, and admit that this media coverage was accurate, that the anecdotal information is now supported by his own department’s statistics, and that the only total myth is the narrative he and his fellow ministers – including Iain (Something) Smith, the Secretary of State – have tried to create?

I doubt it.

But that is what the figures prove.

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Osborne hammers nail into social housing’s coffin (and landlords don’t even see it!)

28 Friday Jun 2013

Posted by Mike Sivier in Uncategorized

≈ 5 Comments


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‘It’s not a bedroom tax’ claims Freud as he faces angry protests from within and without

28 Friday Jun 2013

Posted by Mike Sivier in Uncategorized

≈ 1 Comment


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The Worse Osborne Performs the Nastier His Policies Become

28 Friday Jun 2013

Posted by Mike Sivier in Uncategorized

≈ 1 Comment


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TIME FOR TAXES? Osborne Could Be Forced To Impose £6bn Tax Rise After Election Says IFS

28 Friday Jun 2013

Posted by Mike Sivier in Uncategorized

≈ 1 Comment


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When the law is privatised you signal the end of democracy – and the beginning of corruption – and that’s what the Tories are delivering

28 Friday Jun 2013

Posted by Mike Sivier in Uncategorized

≈ 5 Comments


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Government spin can’t hide the fact the the Work Programme is still not working

27 Thursday Jun 2013

Posted by Mike Sivier in Uncategorized

≈ 3 Comments


Reblogging this in support of my own article on the subject.

alittleecon

I remembered today that the latest Work Programme figures were being published and did my usual thing of looking for the story on the BBC News website. Its article on the figures is entitled “More find jobs on the Work Programme, DWP figures suggest“. I then looked for the DWP press release which was titled “Work Programme transforming lives as number finding lasting work soars to 132,000“. So after the complete failure of the first year, things now seem to be going well. Better than expected even?

But having then found the official statistical release, I  look ed for the Minimum Performance Levels, which I think is the main information that should be highlighted to judge success or failure of the programme. The Minimum Performance Levels are based on what proportion of people would get jobs on their own if the Work Programme didn’t exist…

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Work Programme year two result: FAIL

27 Thursday Jun 2013

Posted by Mike Sivier in Benefits, Conservative Party, Disability, Health, Liberal Democrats, Politics, unemployment, Workfare

≈ 38 Comments

Tags

allowance, assessment, BBC, benefit, Coalition, Conservative, death, Department, Department for Work and Pensions, disability, disabled, DWP, dying, employment, Employment and Support Allowance, ESA, fail, government, hardest to help, health, jobseeker, Jobseeker's Allowance, JSA, Liberal, Liberal Democrat, mark hoban, Mike Sivier, mikesivier, Pensions, people, politics, second, sick, social security, support, Tories, Tory, two, uk statistics authority, UKSA, unemployment, Vox Political, WCA, week, welfare, work, work capability assessment, Work Programme, year


130627workprogramme

The government’s flagship Work Programme has failed to reach its own minimum standard of results – for the second year running.

The Department for Work and Pensions said 13 per cent of jobseekers had managed to find work lasting at least six months (three months for the hardest to help) – but targets for the second year were higher than the first and the DWP admitted that the Work Programme has failed to meet them.

Of the 1.02 million who have been on the programme long enough to count in today’s figures, 132,000 people found work lasting long enough to be counted a success according to its (low) standards. Six months in work is not a long-term job.

This totals 13.4 per cent. Broken down into particular payment groups, Work Programme providers got 31.9 per cent of JSA claimants aged 18-24 into sustained work against a contracted level of 33 per cent – so that is a fail. For JSA claimants aged 25 or over, they averaged 27.3 per cent against a contracted level of 27.5 per cent – so that is also a fail.

We should concede that this is a big improvement from the first year, when no provider reached their contracted level of 5.5 per cent for either group.

But 31.9 per cent and 27.3 per cent creates a combined average of 29.6 per cent, so you’re probably wondering why the Work Programme’s actual average is 13.4 per cent.

Part of this has to do with the total for people on Employment and Support Allowance. The achievement for ESA new customers was just 5.3 per cent, against a target of 16.5 per cent – and is therefore a bitter fail.

This still does not create a combined figure of 13.4 per cent but I am momentarily at a loss to find any other figures to account for it in the statistical release or the DWP’s press release.

This – the press release – is a piece of comedy rather than information, as we have come to expect from the Department of Wayward Pronoouncements.

It makes no mention of the abject failure to meet ESA targets but states: “Compared to many employment schemes under previous governments, the programme targets the hardest to help into work, such as those claiming Employment and Support Allowance.”

That’s a shot in the foot right there, because it immediately sent me looking for the relevant – and damning – figures.

The omission here, coupled with the recent BBC news report in which WP providers got their begging bowls out and demanded more cash to help ESA claimants into work, creates a bleak picture for sick and disabled people who are being forced to seek employment and reinforces the position set out in a previous Vox Political article that these are people who are too ill to work and should not be forced to seek it.

It’s a lose-lose scenario: The Work Programme providers will fail to hit their targets and the ESA recipients’ health will suffer.

And we all know that the DWP is hiding the figures showing how many ESA recipients are dying every week as a result of participation in its brutal assessment process and silly work placement schemes.

Employment minister Mark Hoban, commenting on the programme’s failure to meet its contracted targets, said: “The Work Programme is helping large numbers of people escape the misery of long-term unemployment and get back into real jobs. The improvement in performance over the past year has been profound and the scheme is getting better and better.”

So we know that he’s living in a fantasy world.

In fairness, it should be pointed out that 18 out of the 40 Work Programme providers have met or exceeded their targets. Unfortunately we don’t know how they managed this; considering some of the horror stories that have come from the schemes, it seems a miracle that anyone got a job at all.

Oh, and there’s a sideswipe at commenters like Vox Political. The statistical summary states: “Many commentators on the previous statistical release looked to compare total job outcome payments with total referrals in the period covered by that publication (June 2011 to July 2012) and assess this against a minimum benchmark.

“Incorrectly the media calculated 3.5 per cent (using data covered by full release period) and 2.3 per cent (using data from June 2011 to May 2012) as the relevant figure to compare against the 5.5 per cent benchmark. The contractual benchmark is measured each financial year for three specific groups of Participants only.”

The press release states that – for once – the DWP has an endorsement from the UK Statistics Authority: “The UK Statistics Authority has said that it does not regard the calculation by commentators that 3.5% of people got into work in the first year of the scheme is the most relevant figure on which to assess performance.

“It agrees with the DWP that performance is better measured by counting how many people referred to the Work Programme get into sustained employment within a year of being referred to the scheme.”

That’s very nice. It would have been even nicer to have been provided with the correct figure at the time. I remember wondering why vital information had been omitted from the releases provided to us, forcing us to make the best calculations we could with what was available.

If the DWP wants to play silly games with the figures, its people have no right to come crying to the rest of us, just because we have tried to fill the gap.

To summarise: The Work Programme has failed to hit targets in its second year, with the results being particularly disastrous for the sick and disabled.

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Minister’s singular response on stats lies

26 Wednesday Jun 2013

Posted by Mike Sivier in Uncategorized

≈ Comments Off on Minister’s singular response on stats lies


If anyone has any information to suggest that Mark Lancaster MP is a wrong ‘un, I’ll be very disappointed after his showing here. Is he the one decent Conservative MP – the exception that proves the rule? See for yourself.

SKWAWKBOX

Another Conservative MP has responded to his constituent’s letter regarding the government’s abuse of statistics, which the UK Statistics Authority has unequivocally highlighted. This one – from a minister, no less – is remarkable, and strikingly different to the first two replies, from Rory Stewart and Justin Tomlinson.

This reply is from Mark Lancaster, Tory MP for Milton Keynes North – ‘Lord Commissioner of HM Treasury’ (a ministerial position) and still a serving member of the armed forces. Maybe it’s his army training, but this response has a completely different feel – and I respect its brevity and directness at least:

Dear XXXX

Thank you for your email and apologise for not getting round to responding immediately to it.

Unfortunately because I am a Minister I am unable to raise questions in the house, so will be unable to adhere to your third request but let me try and…

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